Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 14.846433 16.646535 18.598611 20.875930 23.463747 26.317544 29.709351
2025-05-25 12.406252 14.853247 17.703813 21.282538 25.673181 30.906771 37.651342
2025-06-01 10.563257 13.398691 16.918170 21.637732 27.846186 35.796574 46.848100
2025-06-08 9.113370 12.179112 16.210452 21.954422 30.017156 41.063557 57.570702
2025-06-15 8.177373 11.471071 16.041855 22.938267 33.237393 48.298708 72.456818
2025-06-22 7.136582 10.452739 15.282010 22.955747 35.083144 53.919203 86.201038
2025-06-29 6.183564 9.415275 14.331028 22.519820 36.153100 58.547261 99.394531
2025-07-06 5.456147 8.611310 13.608742 22.310149 37.527840 63.895905 114.972298
2025-07-13 5.045024 8.246621 13.522898 23.120795 40.751193 72.987371 139.373087
2025-07-20 4.687690 7.917878 13.443329 23.919435 44.085960 82.918126 167.798405
2025-07-27 4.312492 7.505623 13.157556 24.291474 46.680013 91.938524 196.625017
2025-08-03 3.905714 6.983121 12.600714 24.058288 48.035473 98.727216 222.325626
2025-08-10 3.529135 6.478388 12.027596 23.741450 49.248483 105.655110 250.730957
2025-08-17 3.203197 6.029259 11.502488 23.443331 50.461883 112.884399 282.082905
2025-08-24 2.933323 5.656076 11.078381 23.293324 51.989045 121.207696 318.880597
2025-08-31 2.705378 5.338934 10.726608 23.246747 53.757034 130.540496 361.479355
2025-09-07 2.572550 5.200589 10.729834 24.004574 57.628614 146.149268 427.618275
2025-09-14 2.376162 4.904514 10.354739 23.816383 59.088371 155.715270 478.570577
2025-09-21 2.170889 4.565748 9.842930 23.218096 59.366388 162.088220 521.479271
2025-09-28 2.007641 4.301365 9.466786 22.899033 60.343126 170.738749 575.436036
2025-10-05 1.929795 4.220907 9.507460 23.657082 64.505883 190.094021 675.840998
2025-10-12 1.857162 4.144016 9.546654 24.419392 68.854757 211.241757 792.202657
2025-10-19 1.765854 4.012715 9.436562 24.758537 72.010926 229.367635 904.459497